اخبار اقتصاديه

عاجل – اقتصاديون: ارتفاع مؤشر الدولار مستمر للفترة الراهنة

قال خبراء اقتصاد وإستراتيجيون إن النمو الاقتصادي وارتفاع عائدات السندات سيبقيان الدولار أقوى في الوقت الحالي،
لكن الارتفاع سيفقد الزخم في وقت لاحق في 2021
بسبب ميل مجلس الاحتياطي الاتحادي إلى التيسير النقدي والعجز المالي الآخذ في المتزايد في الولايات المتحدة.

وقالوا لمنتدى رويترز للأسواق العالمية إن صعود الدولار سينحسر خلال الأشهر المقبلة
لأن سياسة مجلس الاحتياطي الاتحادي النقدية الاستثنائية لن تسفر عن تضخم مستمر.

وقال جريجوري داكو كبير الاقتصاديين الأمريكيين لدى أكسفورد إيكونوميكس “النتيجة الأكثر ترجيحا هي أنه بعد ذروة ربيع تبلغ نحو 3.5 بالمئة للمؤشر الرئيسي لأسعار المستهلكين
و2.5 بالمئة للإنفاق الاستهلاكي الشخصي، سيتراجع التضخم من جديد بينما يظل فوق اثنين بالمئة لمدة أطول من أي وقت مضى خلال العقد الماضي”.

وقال جيفري هالي كبير محللي السوق لمنطقة آسيا والمحيط الهادي لدى أواندا “التضخم الذي نشهده ليس تضخما ركوديا بسبب دوامة الأجور والأسعار، إنه تضخم تعاف ومرحلي”.

وقالت كريستينا هوبر كبيرة إستراتيجيي السوق العالمية لدى إنفسكو إن هناك إمكانية حقيقية أن تواصل عائدات السندات الارتفاع،
لكن مجلس الاحتياطي ليس مضطرا لرفع أسعار الفائدة للتصدي للأمر.

وأضافت أنها تتوقع تدخل المجلس فقط في حال أصبحت الأسواق “مضطربة” عندما يبلغ عائد السندات لأجل عشر سنوات اثنين بالمئة.

ويبلغ عائد السندات الأمريكية القياسية لأجل عشر سنوات حاليا 1.6191 بالمئة.

(إعداد دعاء محمد للنشرة العربية – تحرير معتز محمد)

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